Livingston 2-2 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Jan 2024

Livingston
2-2 HT 1-1
Ross County
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Livingston vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.32
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.05
X/X
11%
3.81
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.83
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 66%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.5 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Livingston vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ross County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
214 Passes 200
62% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
06.05.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
07.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.10.2022 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
09.02.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 2-2 Ross County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
2-2
AWAY Ross County
1.34 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 219
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and Ross County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livingston had 54% of the ball to Ross County's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livingston and 1.00 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Ross County?

Livingston 2-2 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Livingston 38%, draw 27%, Ross County 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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