Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Jan 2024

Aberdeen
1-1 HT 1-0
Dundee FC
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Aberdeen vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.33
X/2
9%
8.0
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
17%
5.99
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.59/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 67%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.7 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Aberdeen vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
368 Passes 164
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
02.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.12.2021 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
16.10.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
18.08.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
06.04.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP

Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY Dundee FC
1.46 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
272 Passes 243
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Dundee FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aberdeen had 53% of the ball to Dundee FC's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aberdeen and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 40%, draw 28%, Dundee FC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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30 Jan 2024
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