Hibernian 2-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.57
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.51
X/2
12%
7.73
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
16%
5.48
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
23.3 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
358 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
30.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.05.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.03.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.12.2021 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
22.08.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-1
AWAY Dundee FC
2.18 xG 0.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
307 Passes 198
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian nicked a narrow win over Dundee FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hibernian found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hibernian had 59% of the ball to Dundee FC's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.18 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hibernian's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Dundee FC?

Hibernian 2-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 38%, draw 27%, Dundee FC 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5
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