Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
6%
9.22
X/X
14%
4.37
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
7.49
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.68/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.25
+2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 65%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.4 Crosses 19.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 163
64% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
24.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
06.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
29.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
08.04.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
28.12.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-0
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.66 xG 0.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
345 Passes 208
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen beat Kilmarnock 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 58% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 42%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberdeen and 1.33 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 51%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ BTTS No
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