Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 3-2 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell edged past St. Johnstone 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Motherwell had 45% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 55%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Motherwell and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs St. Johnstone?
Motherwell 3-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs St. Johnstone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 41%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.