Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Motherwell v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 3-2 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell found just enough to beat St. Johnstone 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: St. Johnstone saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.84.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Motherwell against 1.33 for St. Johnstone.
Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score
Motherwell 3 - 2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Motherwell vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 46%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.