St. Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 37%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.74
-100% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +86%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
292 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
31.08.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
27.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
07.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-0
AWAY Motherwell
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone squeezed past Motherwell 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day St. Johnstone made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 55% of the ball to Motherwell's 45%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.50 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

St. Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 38%, draw 26%, Motherwell 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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