Ross County 2-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 29%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.77/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.43
-57% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Livingston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
211 Passes 216
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
24.02.2024 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
30.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
06.05.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston edged past Ross County 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Livingston made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Livingston?

Ross County 2-3 Livingston in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ross County 40%, draw 25%, Livingston 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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