Queen Of The South 1-3 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
42%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
14%
+20.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
67%
-24.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.13/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+4% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
0W-1D-5L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
20.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKK
10.10.2020 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
17.03.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
03.02.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 2-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
23.12.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-3 HT 2-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
24.09.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 2-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren saw off Queen Of The South 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.33 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs St. Mirren?

Queen Of The South 1-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 35%, draw 23%, St. Mirren 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ BTTS No
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