Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
13%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 26% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.47/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.41
-33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
212 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 163 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
24.07.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 4-1 HT 3-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
05.03.2016 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 5-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
06.02.2016 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
19.12.2015 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.09.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-5 HT 0-3 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
21.03.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3-0
AWAY Stenhousemuir
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic swept aside Stenhousemuir 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 68% of the ball to Stenhousemuir's 32%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 51%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ BTTS No
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