Elgin City 0-3 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

Elgin City
0-3 HT 0-1
Aberdeen
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2024/2025

Elgin City vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
60%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.51
Over 2.5
67%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.0pp
60%
Away Win
74%
-13.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 78%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.45/3.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.40
-41% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +99%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
– Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen swept aside Elgin City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Aberdeen?

Elgin City 0-3 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 20%, draw 20%, Aberdeen 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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