St. Mirren 1-0 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+11.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.48/0.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/3.80
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -32%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Queen Of The South
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
10.10.2020 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
17.03.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
03.02.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 2-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
23.12.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-3 HT 2-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
24.09.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 2-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
18.03.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren edged past Queen Of The South 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.00 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Queen Of The South?

St. Mirren 1-0 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 59%, draw 19%, Queen Of The South 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Over 2.5
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