Motherwell 2-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
10%
6.71
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.08
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.06
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 65%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.7 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 244
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
27.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
07.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.44 xG 1.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
238 Passes 537
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell squeezed past St. Johnstone 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Motherwell had 34% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 66%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.44 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motherwell and 1.17 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs St. Johnstone?

Motherwell 2-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 41%, draw 29%, St. Johnstone 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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