Hibernian 1-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
10%
9.13
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
13%
7.09
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.44
-15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 65%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
27.3 Crosses 22.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-3 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
06.08.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
06.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-2
AWAY St. Mirren
2.28 xG 2.11
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 121
83% Pass Accuracy 55%
24 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren nicked a narrow win over Hibernian 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hibernian had 69% of the ball to St. Mirren's 31%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.28 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hibernian and 2.33 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Hibernian 1-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 44%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ BTTS Yes
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