Aberdeen 4-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
11%
8.33
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
6%
6.37
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.60/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.6 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
13.03.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.01.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
30.04.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
02.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
4-1
AWAY Dundee FC
1.81 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
389 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen swept aside Dundee FC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 56% of the ball to Dundee FC's 44%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.81 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberdeen and 0.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Aberdeen 4-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 47%, draw 30%, Dundee FC 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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