St. Johnstone 2-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.71
X/2
9%
7.38
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.76
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.06/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
-38% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 66%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.9 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
299 Passes 279
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKK
09.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
31.08.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
27.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
2-1
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 xG 1.22
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
466 Passes 176
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Motherwell 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 69% of the ball to Motherwell's 31%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

St. Johnstone 2-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 43%, draw 30%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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