Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Hearts
İKP
1-2
HT 0-1
Hearts
İKLK
Hearts 3-2 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts squeezed past Kilmarnock 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hearts had 49% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.51 to 1.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hearts's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hearts and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
Hearts 3-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hearts 47%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.