Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Dec 2024

Kilmarnock
1-0 HT 1-0
Hearts
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.02
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
5.58
X/2
14%
5.36
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
11%
3.8
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.45/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.39
-5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
24.5 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hearts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 369
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
27.04.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
30.03.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
26.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKLK
13.08.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-0
AWAY Hearts
1.57 xG 1.15
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
119 Passes 559
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock nicked a narrow win over Hearts 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kilmarnock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 25% of the ball to Hearts's 75%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.83 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hearts?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 39%, draw 28%, Hearts 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ BTTS Yes
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