Aberdeen 0-3 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
10%
4.7
X/2
14%
7.63
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
12%
5.74
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.60/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.9 Crosses 24.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
316 Passes 214
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
11.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
02.03.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
27.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
24.05.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
0-3
AWAY St. Mirren
1.40 xG 1.78
74% Ball Possession 26%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
480 Passes 112
83% Pass Accuracy 54%
39 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren cruised past Aberdeen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 74% of the ball to St. Mirren's 26%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.40 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aberdeen and 1.67 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

Aberdeen 0-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 42%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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