St. Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
St. Mirren
İKP
2-2
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
İKP
3-0
HT 2-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-3
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
St. Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren edged past Aberdeen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Mirren had 28% of the ball to Aberdeen's 72%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.56 to 1.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Mirren and 1.67 for Aberdeen.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?
St. Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 37%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.