Ross County 2-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
18%
5.85
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.38
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.10/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
240 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 65%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.8 Crosses 20.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.96 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
11.05.2024 Ross County Ross County 1-5 HT 1-2 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
06.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 5-0 HT 3-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.12.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
28.10.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
20.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
2-1
AWAY Motherwell
1.59 xG 0.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
184 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County nicked a narrow win over Motherwell 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ross County found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ross County had 41% of the ball to Motherwell's 59%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 2.33 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Motherwell?

Ross County 2-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ross County 34%, draw 28%, Motherwell 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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