Dundee FC 4-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.05
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
19%
5.93
X/2
10%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.33/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.06
+23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.1 Crosses 21.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
218 Passes 334
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
24.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
25.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
30.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.05.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.03.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
4-1
AWAY Hibernian
2.22 xG 0.76
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
407 Passes 161
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC cruised past Hibernian 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dundee FC had 67% of the ball to Hibernian's 33%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.22 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee FC and 1.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Hibernian?

Dundee FC 4-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 43%, draw 24%, Hibernian 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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