Hibernian 2-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
13%
7.39
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.13
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.42
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
24.7 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
358 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
25.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
30.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.05.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.03.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.12.2021 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-2
AWAY Dundee FC
0.88 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
189 Passes 205
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Dundee FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hibernian had 50% of the ball to Dundee FC's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernian and 0.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Dundee FC?

Hibernian 2-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 43%, draw 24%, Dundee FC 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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