St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Johnstone v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Johnstone 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
St. Johnstone squeezed past Kilmarnock 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in St. Johnstone's favour, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.45.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for St. Johnstone against 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
St. Johnstone 1 - 0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 26%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), BTTS Yes went the other way.