Kilmarnock 0-3 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Aug 2024

Kilmarnock
0-3 HT 0-2
St. Johnstone
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
16%
3.76
X/2
10%
9.99
X/X
14%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
7.91
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.19/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.33
-13% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.8 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
245 Passes 204
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
23.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
18.03.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
29.10.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 0-3 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-3
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.74 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
150 Passes 278
59% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone cruised past Kilmarnock 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 41% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 59%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.74 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?

Kilmarnock 0-3 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 48%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Over 2.5
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