Hibernian 0-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Aug 2024

Hibernian
0-2 HT 0-2
Celtic
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.23
2-3 Goals
40%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.95
1/X
7%
20.15
X/1
8%
17.9
X/2
18%
3.69
X/X
12%
8.51
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.53
2/X
5%
20.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.95 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-12.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hibernian v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.80/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.78
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
201 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 83%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.6
15.8 Crosses 25.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Hibernian vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.08 xG 2.76
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
206 Passes 585
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 49
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
06.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.10.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
18.03.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.12.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP

Hibernian 0-2 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
0-2
AWAY Celtic
0.10 xG 2.60
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
154 Passes 638
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Hibernian 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernian had 25% of the ball to Celtic's 75%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.10 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hibernian and 2.50 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian 0-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 18%, draw 24%, Celtic 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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