Hearts 1-4 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.7
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
10%
12.95
X/2
17%
3.85
X/X
9%
6.8
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.8
2/X
9%
16.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.7 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 67%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.20/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.92
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
16.2 Crosses 24.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.68 xG 2.49
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
231 Passes 494
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
04.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.03.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-2 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.10.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-4 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-4
AWAY Celtic
0.85 xG 3.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
282 Passes 691
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic cruised past Hearts 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hearts had 32% of the ball to Celtic's 68%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.85 to 3.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hearts and 1.83 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Celtic?

Hearts 1-4 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hearts 24%, draw 23%, Celtic 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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