Cremonese U20 1-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.12/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.48
-24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 İTAPŞ1
03.11.2024 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 2-4 HT 1-2 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Cremonese U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese U20 and Fiorentina U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cremonese U20 and 3.00 for Fiorentina U20.

What was the final score of Cremonese U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Cremonese U20 1-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cremonese U20 30%, draw 30%, Fiorentina U20 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
17 Dec 2025
14:00 Cagliari U20 vs Atalanta U20 Analysis →
14:00 Genoa U20 vs Frosinone U20 Analysis →
14:00 Lecce U20 vs Napoli U20 Analysis →
18:00 Hellas Verona U20 vs Inter U20 Analysis →
20:00 Sassuolo U20 vs Bologna U20 Analysis →