Fiorentina U20 2-0 Cremonese U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
31%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cremonese U20
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 2-4 HT 1-2 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
2-0
AWAY Cremonese U20
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Cremonese U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 got the better of Cremonese U20 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 52% of the ball to Cremonese U20's 48%, shots finished 19-16.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Fiorentina U20 2-0 Cremonese U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 54%, draw 28%, Cremonese U20 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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