Cesena U20 4-5 Roma U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.94
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.74/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/2.80
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Roma U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2024 Roma U20 Roma U20 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena U20
4-5
AWAY Roma U20
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma U20 edged past Cesena U20 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 18% / 42%) promised a tight game; Roma U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesena U20 had 50% of the ball to Roma U20's 50%, shots finished 23-14.

What was the final score of Cesena U20 vs Roma U20?

Cesena U20 4-5 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena U20 vs Roma U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cesena U20 40%, draw 18%, Roma U20 42%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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