Excelsior Maassluis 2-7 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
9.57
Draw
8%
7.13
Away Pick
86%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
21%
3.68
Over
79%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
8%
8.7
2-3
36%
2.42
4-5
37%
2.29
6+
19%
3.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
3%
1/X
2%
X/1
3%
X/2
18%
X/X
4%
2/1
1%
2/2
65%
2/X
1%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax The Market 85%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.70 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 3.38
2.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 9.00
0.05 xG 6.01
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 30
0 Shots on Target 16
1 Corners 3
257 Passes 610
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
2 Box Touches 73
3 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2022 Ajax Ajax 9-0 HT 5-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2 - 7
AWAY Ajax
1.24 xG 2.25
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
218 Passes 561
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ajax dismantled Excelsior Maassluis 7-2 on their travels. Half-time: 0-4. With 9 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (79%) landed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 32% of the ball to Ajax's 68%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.24 to 2.25.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax Result & Final Score

Excelsior Maassluis 2 - 7 Ajax in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 6%, draw 8%, Ajax 86%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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