Fortuna Sittard 2-3 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 17 Dec 2025

Fortuna Sittard
2 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Almere City
📅17/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.33
Over Pick
64%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.59
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.69
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.7
6+
11%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.98
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.37
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
11%
6.48
2/1 ✗
4%
20.05
2/2
9%
8.04
2/X
4%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 4% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Fortuna Sittard v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fortuna Sittard The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City The Market 22%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
Average Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength –
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
40 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18 Crosses –
0 Yellow Cards –

Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Almere City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.76 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
24.01.2024 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
17.01.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOK
19.08.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1 HT 2-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
30.03.2018 Almere City Almere City 1-4 HT 0-4 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
01.09.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Fortuna Sittard 2-3 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2 - 3
AWAY Almere City
1.01 xG 2.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Almere City came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Fortuna Sittard 3-2 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

This one beat our numbers. Fortuna Sittard carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Almere City saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.01 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Fortuna Sittard against 0.67 for Almere City.

Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City Result & Final Score

Fortuna Sittard 2 - 3 Almere City in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 62%, draw 20%, Almere City 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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