Kavala 1-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
69%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
3.06
No
51%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
60%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+7.9pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
28%
+21.0pp
51%
BTTS No
72%
-21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kavala EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 97%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.10
-18% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kavala
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.01.2011 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-2 HT 2-2 Kavala Kavala YUN
18.09.2010 Kavala Kavala 2-2 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
14.02.2010 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kavala Kavala YUN
18.10.2009 Kavala Kavala 2-2 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
POST-MATCH Kavala vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past Kavala 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kavala and 2.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Kavala vs Panathinaikos?

Kavala 1-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kavala vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kavala 16%, draw 14%, Panathinaikos 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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