PAOK 4-1 Marko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 Dec 2025

PAOK
4-1 HT 3-0
Marko
📅17/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.03
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
2%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
85%
-4.3pp
10%
Draw
8%
+1.6pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Marko EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.61/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
465 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
4-1
AWAY Marko
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Marko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK swept aside Marko 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, PAOK had 71% of the ball to Marko's 29%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Marko?

PAOK 4-1 Marko in the Greece - Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Marko?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split PAOK 81%, draw 10%, Marko 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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