Unionistas de Salamanca 1-3 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
16.01
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
55%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.58
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
33.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
7%
34.0
X/2
17%
3.32
X/X
13%
10.9
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
27%
1.24
2/X
6%
34.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
3%
+18.3pp
23%
Draw
12%
+11.2pp
55%
Away Win
84%
-29.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas de Salamanca EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 90%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.75/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.15/1.48
+75% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -68%
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
195 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 510 · 85%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.7
31.6 Crosses 20.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unionistas de Salamanca
1-3
AWAY Barcelona
0.74 xG 1.31
26% Ball Possession 74%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
153 Passes 626
66% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona beat Unionistas de Salamanca 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Unionistas de Salamanca had 26% of the ball to Barcelona's 74%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barcelona?

Unionistas de Salamanca 1-3 Barcelona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Unionistas de Salamanca 22%, draw 23%, Barcelona 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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