18/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Vorskla Poltava vs Kaisar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
22%
Draw
21%
49%
Away Win
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vorskla Poltava v Kaisar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vorskla Poltava
EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kaisar
EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
218 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
404 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vorskla Poltava vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vorskla Poltava cruised past Kaisar 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kaisar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Kaisar?
Vorskla Poltava 4-1 Kaisar in the Friendlies on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Kaisar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 29%, draw 22%, Kaisar 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kaisar) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kaisar)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
18 Jan 2024