Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.35/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
06.08.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
22.02.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
06.07.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
03.02.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
19.08.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-1 HT 2-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
24.02.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Cimarrones de Sonora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa and Cimarrones de Sonora shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cimarrones de Sonora at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cimarrones de Sonora led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.83 for Cimarrones de Sonora.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cimarrones de Sonora win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 33%, draw 22%, Cimarrones de Sonora 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cimarrones de Sonora), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cimarrones de Sonora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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