Vizela 2-5 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 18 Jan 2024

Vizela
2-5 HT 1-1
Sporting CP
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Vizela vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
14.55
1/2
5%
23.0
1/X
7%
22.15
X/1
8%
17.8
X/2
23%
3.38
X/X
9%
7.02
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
30%
1.56
2/X
8%
21.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.97/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.77
-50% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
17.5 Crosses 23.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Vizela vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.64 xG 2.04
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
246 Passes 543
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-2 HT 2-0 Vizela Vizela POR
26.05.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
21.01.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
16.01.2022 Vizela Vizela 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
06.08.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
17.12.2014 Vizela Vizela 2-3 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK

Vizela 2-5 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
2-5
AWAY Sporting CP
0.93 xG 2.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
235 Passes 476
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Vizela 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela had 36% of the ball to Sporting CP's 64%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 0.93 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vizela and 2.50 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Sporting CP?

Vizela 2-5 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vizela 17%, draw 24%, Sporting CP 59%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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