18/01/2025
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Ceuta vs Sevilla II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
54%
26%
Draw
24%
24%
Away Win
22%
48%
Under 2.5
54%
52%
Over 2.5
46%
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
45%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Sevilla II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ceuta
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sevilla II
The Market 25%
+4% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-10%
1.62/0.63
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.18/2.08
+1%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+30%
/
-33%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
375 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
217 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.1
Ceuta vs Sevilla II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ceuta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Sevilla II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Target
6
8
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ceuta vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ceuta squeezed past Sevilla II 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Sevilla II?
Ceuta 1-0 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Sevilla II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 49%, draw 26%, Sevilla II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ceuta)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İS3
More Spain - 2nd Division B
18 Jan 2025