Real Sociedad II 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.54
Over
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.24
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.81
6+
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona The Market 40%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.74/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.45
+15% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.50 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
04.02.2024 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
22.10.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
05.03.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
15.10.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
1-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II and Gimnastic Tarragona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 58% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.60 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Real Sociedad II 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 38%, draw 28%, Gimnastic Tarragona 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✓ Under 2.5
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