Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.14
2-3
39%
1.82
4-5
18%
5.93
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.14
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
22.10.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
05.03.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
15.10.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past Real Sociedad II 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 47% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.00 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Sociedad II?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 51%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad II 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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