Sassuolo U20 1-0 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.01/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.71
+6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Genoa U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 2-3 HT 1-0 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo U20
1-0
AWAY Genoa U20
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U20 squeezed past Genoa U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo U20 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo U20 had 50% of the ball to Genoa U20's 50%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Sassuolo U20 vs Genoa U20?

Sassuolo U20 1-0 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo U20 44%, draw 28%, Genoa U20 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo U20) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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