Badalona (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
49%
-15.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
-3% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
11.1 Crosses 21.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.68
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
140 Passes 510
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
27.01.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.02 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
282 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) and Atletico Madrid (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 44% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 56%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.02 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Badalona (K) and 2.00 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18 Jan 2025
14:00 Granada (K) vs Tenerife (K) Analysis →
18:15 A. Bilbao (K) vs Barcelona (K) Analysis →
20:30 Madrid CFF (K) vs Valencia (K) Analysis →