Canberra United (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.23
Over 2.5
42%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.1pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.24
+150% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
Crosses 10.6
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-2D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.41 xG 2.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
217 Passes 256
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0.89 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
368 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) nicked a narrow win over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Canberra United (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 55% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.89 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 2.75 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 52%, draw 26%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
18 Jan 2025
10:00 Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Analysis →