Auckland 3-0 Melbourne City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 18 Jan 2025

Auckland
3-0 HT 3-0
Melbourne City
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Auckland vs Melbourne City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.26
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.57
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auckland v Melbourne City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -28%
0.55/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.71
-38% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
33.0 Crosses 21.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Auckland vs Melbourne City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
288 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 2-2 HT 1-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS

Auckland 3-0 Melbourne City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
3-0
AWAY Melbourne City
1.22 xG 0.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
287 Passes 452
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Melbourne City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland ran out comfortable winners over Melbourne City 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Auckland made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auckland had 41% of the ball to Melbourne City's 59%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.22 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Auckland 3-0 Melbourne City in the Australia - A-League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Auckland 37%, draw 26%, Melbourne City 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
18 Jan 2025
09:00 Sydney vs Brisbane Roar Analysis →
11:35 Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Analysis →