Sydney vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sydney v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Sydney vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Sydney
AVUS
3-1
HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUK
0-2
HT 0-1
Sydney
AVUS
Sydney 3-4 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar squeezed past Sydney 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Sydney had 58% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 42%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.62 to 2.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
Sydney 3-4 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sydney 53%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar 26%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.