Sydney 1-1 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.99
2-3 Goals
38%
2.19
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
18%
4.2
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
7%
7.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.35
2/2
9%
7.31
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.35 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.05/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.93
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.4 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
451 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-2 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
27.10.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
07.10.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUK
24.04.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
06.11.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
1-1
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.75 xG 1.68
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
160 Passes 558
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sydney vs Brisbane Roar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sydney and Brisbane Roar shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Australia - A-League on 10 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Sydney had 27% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 73%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.75 to 1.68.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sydney and 1.50 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?

Sydney 1-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sydney 55%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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