Macarthur 0-3 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
13%
7.23
X/2
20%
4.89
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.52/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.24
+19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +91%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
18.9 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.35 xG 2.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
310 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 39
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-3 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AFCC
29.10.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
11.03.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-1 HT 1-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
13.01.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.11.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-3 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
19.03.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 1-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-3
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.35 xG 2.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
399 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Central Coast Mariners ran out comfortable winners over Macarthur 3-0 away from home in the Australia - A-League on 10 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Macarthur had 57% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 43%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.35 to 2.62.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Macarthur and 2.67 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?

Macarthur 0-3 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 30%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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