Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Jan 2024

Brisbane Roar
1-2 HT 1-2
Sydney
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.6
2-3 Goals
42%
2.12
4-5 Goals
23%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.55
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.82
X/2
8%
5.33
X/X
9%
6.51
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
19%
2.78
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.30
-26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
18.1 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
348 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
07.10.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUK
24.04.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
06.11.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
10.05.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS

Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar
1-2
AWAY Sydney
0.46 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
429 Passes 445
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Brisbane Roar vs Sydney
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sydney edged past Brisbane Roar 2-1 away from home in the Australia - A-League on 6 Jan 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Brisbane Roar had 49% of the ball to Sydney's 51%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.37.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.33 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Sydney?

Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 42%, draw 23%, Sydney 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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