Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Jan 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
0-1 HT 0-1
Central Coast Mariners
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
11%
12.5
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
10%
5.54
X/X
6%
5.45
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.24
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.4pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.80/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.68
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.0 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 2.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
398 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.11.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.04.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.12.2021 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.04.2021 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.06 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
488 Passes 312
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 40%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.83 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 41%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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