Brisbane Roar 2-3 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Nov 2024

Brisbane Roar
2-3 HT 0-0
Sydney
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.21
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.58
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
9%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.06
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.49/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.42
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
17.2 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sydney
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
397 Passes 403
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
06.01.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-2 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
27.10.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
07.10.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUK
24.04.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS

Brisbane Roar 2-3 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar
2-3
AWAY Sydney
1.64 xG 1.26
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
192 Passes 508
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Brisbane Roar vs Sydney
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sydney edged past Brisbane Roar 3-2 away from home in the Australia - A-League on 1 Nov 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brisbane Roar had 32% of the ball to Sydney's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.64 to 1.26.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.50 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Sydney?

Brisbane Roar 2-3 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 38%, draw 24%, Sydney 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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